An implicit method for probabilistic common-cause failure analysis using Bayesian Network
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Explicit and implicit methods for probabilistic common-cause failure analysis
The occurrence of a probabilistic common-cause failure (PCCF) in a system results in failures of multiple system components with different probabilities. A PCCF can be caused by external shocks or propagated failures originating from some components within the system. This paper proposes an explicit method and an implicit method to analyze the reliability of systems subject to internal or exter...
متن کاملDeveloping a method for reliability allocation of series-parallel systems by considering common cause failure
Reliability allocation has an essential connection to design for reliability and is an important activity in the product design and development process. In determining the reliability of subsystems or components on the basis of goal reliability, attention must be paid to failure effect, failure information, and improvement opportunities based upon real potentials for reliability improvement. In...
متن کاملCommon-Cause Failure in Wind Turbines: An Initial Analysis
It is well recognised that long-term planning and management of renewable energy resources is subject to severe uncertainty. For a large part, this uncertainty is due to the complex relationships between social, economic, and environmental systems, including availability, usage patterns, demographic evolution, global warming, just to mention a few. Traditionally, this uncertainty is encoded via...
متن کاملPhysics-based Common Cause Failure Modeling in Probabilistic Risk Analysis: a Mechanistic Perspective
The modeling of dependent failures, specifically Common Cause Failures (CCFs), is one of the most important topics in Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA). Currently, CCFs are treated using parametric modeling, which is based on historical failure events. Instead of utilizing the existing data-driven approach, this paper proposes the concept of physics-based CCF modeling, which refers to the incor...
متن کاملanalysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain
در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...
15 صفحه اولذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: IFAC-PapersOnLine
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2405-8963
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.09.718